Truth Consequences, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

888
FXUS64 KEPZ 301135
AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
435 AM MST Thu Jan 30 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 428 AM MST Thu Jan 30 2025

 - Continued cool temperatures today with very breezy conditions
   and lowland dust

 - Much warmer conditions towards the end of the weekend and early
   next week

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 141 AM MST Thu Jan 30 2025

The center of the upper low that brought some light precipitation
to the area yesterday will continue to push north and east across
northern NM and the Great Plains today. The Borderland will be
under cool northerly flow behind this trough keeping temperatures
very similar to what we saw yesterday. Lee troughing will set up
over eastern NM/TX Panhandle today allowing for very breezy
conditions across the area. Expect generally westerly winds across
the area with speeds 15 to 30 MPH in the lowlands and 20 to 35
MPH in the Sacramento Mtns. A wind advisory is in effect for the
Sacramento Mtns this afternoon. Dust will be a concern today for
lowland areas, especially for southern El Paso and Hudspeth
counties as these locations will be favored for the best dust
potential. Areas around Deming/Sunshine, Lordsburg Playa, and
White Sands have potential to see patchy blowing dust. Wind
direction and other parameters are not ideal for blowing dust, but
very dry soils coupled with breezy winds will probably be enough
for dust production. Winds will be on the downtrend after sunset,
but will continue to see some breeziness later tonight but finally
calms by early tomorrow morning.

Friday will be the beginning of a warming trend across the area.
Each day through early next week will feature light afternoon
breezes and continued dry conditions. By Monday, temperatures will
be 15-20 degrees above average. High temperatures in the lowlands
will be in the mid to upper 70s, with some locations even having
the potential to see 80 degrees. Tuesday looks to be the warmest
day of the forecast period where El Paso could threaten to see a
high of 80 degrees!

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 428 AM MST Thu Jan 30 2025

VFR conditions expected through the TAF period. Breezy west winds
will be seen this afternoon with the potential for BLDU. KDMN,
KLRU, and KELP all have chances to see BLDU today, but KELP has
the best chance. Visibilities expected to decrease to around 5SM,
but has potential to get to around 3-4SM at KELP. Passing mid and
high level clouds today will become SKC after 00Z.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 141 AM MST Thu Jan 30 2025

Breezy west 20 foot winds of 15-25 MPH can be expected today in
the lowlands and Sacramento Mtns. Min RH values will stay above
critical thresholds today with values of 20-35% in the lowlands
and 40-55% in the mountains. Continued dry weather is expected to
persist through the foreseeable future, allowing critical RHs to
return as soon as tomorrow. Critical RHs spread throughout the
entire forecast area Saturday. Sunday and onward critical RHs
persist in the lowlands. Wind speeds tomorrow and onward will stay
below critical thresholds manifesting only as light afternoon
breeziness each day.

Temperatures will be similar today to what we saw yesterday, but
Friday is the beginning of a warming trend over the area that will
continue through mid week next week. Monday and Tuesdays high
temperatures will be 15-20 degrees above average. Ventilation
rates will be good to excellent today, becoming poor to good
tomorrow through Tuesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                  56  31  61  35 /   0   0   0   0
Sierra Blanca            50  26  59  32 /   0   0   0   0
Las Cruces               53  26  59  30 /   0   0   0   0
Alamogordo               51  23  59  27 /   0   0   0   0
Cloudcroft               29  20  44  25 /   0   0   0   0
Truth or Consequences    57  27  59  29 /   0   0   0   0
Silver City              45  25  58  30 /   0   0   0   0
Deming                   53  23  62  26 /   0   0   0   0
Lordsburg                50  21  62  23 /   0   0   0   0
West El Paso Metro       54  32  59  36 /   0   0   0   0
Dell City                53  23  61  26 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Hancock             56  26  63  30 /   0   0   0   0
Loma Linda               46  28  55  34 /   0   0   0   0
Fabens                   55  28  62  30 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Teresa             52  27  58  30 /   0   0   0   0
White Sands HQ           54  32  59  36 /   0   0   0   0
Jornada Range            55  22  60  25 /   0   0   0   0
Hatch                    58  24  62  26 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus                 53  28  60  28 /   0   0   0   0
Orogrande                52  25  57  30 /   0   0   0   0
Mayhill                  42  25  58  29 /   0   0   0   0
Mescalero                40  21  54  25 /   0   0   0   0
Timberon                 39  20  52  25 /   0   0   0   0
Winston                  50  18  57  18 /   0   0   0   0
Hillsboro                56  27  59  29 /   0   0   0   0
Spaceport                57  22  59  25 /   0   0   0   0
Lake Roberts             46  23  59  27 /  10   0   0   0
Hurley                   48  21  59  25 /   0   0   0   0
Cliff                    54  12  66  16 /  10   0   0   0
Mule Creek               48  23  60  26 /  10   0   0   0
Faywood                  48  26  57  30 /   0   0   0   0
Animas                   54  21  64  24 /   0   0   0   0
Hachita                  52  21  62  24 /   0   0   0   0
Antelope Wells           53  24  62  27 /   0   0   0   0
Cloverdale               48  27  61  32 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...Wind Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 6 PM MST this evening
     for East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
     Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet-West Slopes Sacramento
     Mountains Below 7500 Feet.

&&

$$

FORECASTER...37-Slusher